The 2016/2017 Premier League season draws to a conclusion on May 21, and that can only mean one thing: Open season on transfer gossip.
To guide you through the onslaught of headlines, we have pulled together British bookmaker odds to rank the 11 players most likely to join a new club this summer.
Calculating the likelihood is easy. All you have to do is convert a bookmaker’s fractional odds into a percentage. If the percentage is above 50%, then that bookie feels the transfer has a higher chance of happening than not.
These are the 11 players who could be on the move in the coming months, ranked from least to most likely.
Manchester United forward Wayne Rooney has a 44% chance of joining any Chinese club.
At 31, Wayne Rooney’s effectiveness up front has faded with age.
A frequent substitute under current Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho, it is assumed the England international may be one of the first to leave Old Trafford this summer.
Rooney still possesses extraordinary name value and will not be short of admirers.
Likeliest buying club: A Chinese Super League side.
Alternative clubs: Everton or a Major League Soccer side.
Arsenal midfielder Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain has a 50% chance of joining Liverpool.
Arsenal is struggling to secure a qualification spot in next season’s Champions League competition and is subject to regular fan protests outside the Emirates Stadium.
Liverpool could be looking to take advantage of the turmoil by plotting an audacious swoop for midfield star Oxlade-Chamberlain.
Likeliest buying club: Liverpool.
Alternative buying clubs: Manchester City.
Swansea City midfielder Gylfi Sigurdsson has a 50% chance of joining Everton.
Gylfi Sigurdsson has been one of Swansea City’s best and most reliable performers since transferring from Tottenham Hotspur in 2014.
Should the Swans be relegated, then it will only be a matter of time before bigger clubs test its resolve with a bid for the Icelandic playmaker.
Likeliest buying club: Everton.
Alternative buying clubs: Southampton or Newcastle United.
Manchester United goalkeeper David de Gea has a 50% chance of joining Real Madrid.
David de Gea has long been linked with a return to Spain and Real Madrid is the likeliest destination. The club has long admired the Manchester United goalkeeper.
Likeliest buying club: Real Madrid.
Alternative buying club: Paris Saint-Germain.
Atletico Madrid forward Antoine Griezmann has a 54.5% chance of joining Manchester United.
Antoine Griezmann has proven himself at club level and on the international stage with Atletico Madrid and the French national team respectively.
The player is continually linked with a move away from Atletico, but it would take a monster bid to prise him from the Vicente Calderon.
Likeliest buying club: Manchester United.
Alternative buying club: Paris St-Germain or Bayern Munich.
Burnley defender Michael Keane has a 55% chance of joining Manchester United.
English centre-back Michael Keane could be set for a high-profile move thanks to the aerial dominance, football IQ, and defensive nous he has displayed at Burnley.
Liverpool has been linked with a £25 million bid for Keane but punters are still backing the 24-year-old to return to United.
Likeliest buying club: Manchester United.
Alternative buying club: Liverpool or Tottenham Hotspur.
Chelsea defender John Terry has a 66% chance of joining any Portuguese club.
John Terry’s Chelsea contract expires this summer and is available on a free transfer. Although his playing time has been limited this season, he is determined to continue his career and will not be short of suitors.
Likeliest buying club: Any Portuguese side.
Alternative buying club: Bournemouth, any Major League Soccer side, or any Chinese Super League side.
Manchester United striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a 60% chance of joining any MLS club.
Like Terry, veteran striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic’s club deal expires this summer.
He has a strong bond with Man United manager Jose Mourinho and may look to extend his Old Trafford stay for an additional year.
However, punters anticipate the 8th transfer of a globetrotting career with a Major League Soccer side seen as the likeliest beneficiary to any Zlatan departure.
Likeliest buying club: Any Major League Soccer side.
Alternative buying clubs: Any China Super League side or Malmo.
Tottenham Hotspur defender Kyle Walker has a 66% chance of joining Manchester City.
Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho could overhaul his side’s back-line and Spurs wingback Kyle Walker, who is adept at linking defence to attack, is reportedly high on the Portuguese’s wishlist.
The player has been linked with United throughout the season and Mourinho is expected to make his interest formal with Walker eager to land a significant pay-rise.
Likeliest buying club: Manchester United.
Alternative buying club: FC Barcelona.
Chelsea striker Diego Costa has a 75% chance of joining any Chinese club.
He was once considered an unstoppable force thanks to an awesome return of 20 goals in 24 starts in his debut Premier League season in 2014.
Diego Costa’s effectiveness in attack remains high — he is responsible for scoring or creating a goal once for every 113 minutes he is on the field — but transfer rumours persist.
This is a player expected to secure a big-money move this summer.
Likeliest buying club: Any China Super League side.
Alternative buying club: Atletico Madrid.
Sunderland striker has an 80% chance of joining Bournemouth.
With Sunderland consigned to the Championship next season, its top stars will be prime targets for clubs who have retained Premier League status.
At 34, Jermain Defoe is showing that age is only a number thanks to 15 goals from 35 starts. He could easily manage another season at the very top.
Likeliest buying club: Bournemouth.
Alternative buying clubs: Crystal Palace or West Ham United.
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